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NOTICIAS: NOTICIAS 2004
Beijing, China, 9 de diciembre de 2004
The State of the Doha Development Agenda Negotiations and the Impact of the DDA on China's Economic Environment
China WTO Forum
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Keynote address by
Dr. Kipkorir Aly Azad RANA
Deputy Director-General
World Trade Organization
Mr. Minister,
Excellencies,
Distinguished representatives from the public and private sectors and
from the academic community,
Honoured Guests,
Ladies and Gentlemen,
I am extremely happy to be with you on the third anniversary of China's
accession to the WTO. It is indeed an important day today and I am sure
that many of you will look back at what your country has achieved in
this period with a great deal of pride. In my view this pride in your
achievement is completely justified. China has achieved what many
developing countries aspire to achieve. A stable economic growth; an
attractive base for foreign direct investment; and since 2001, an
important Member of the World Trade Organization. But the path to that
success must not have been easy. I am sure it would have required
dedication, patience, self belief and above all perseverance, including
during the fifteen years that China was in the process of negotiating
its accession to the WTO.
As you are all aware, China completed its long process of accession to
become a Member of the WTO in December 2001, just a few weeks after the
launch of the Doha Round. Three years later, we are celebrating China's
integration into the multilateral trading system. The continuing story
of outstanding economic success is a tribute to the vision and
professionalism of China's policy makers. Progressive liberalisation of
trade and investment has played a key role in China's economic growth
and development over the past 25 years. China has always been an
economic force to reckon with and for years has played a central role in
contributing to global economic output. This role has only become
stronger with China's entry into the WTO, where it now is increasingly
providing inspiration to other developing country Members.
It is a happy coincidence that this third anniversary celebration is
taking place amidst the conduct of the transitional review in connection
with paragraph 18 of the Protocol on the accession of China to the WTO.
The goal of the transitional review is to allow WTO Members to examine
and report on China's progress in meeting its obligations under the
various Agreements. WTO Members are encouraged by China's implementation
of its WTO commitments, which have progressed and are now in an
important phase. China has made noteworthy strides in promulgating laws
and regulations, and building transitional administering authorities. In
a period of evolving regulations, the importance of regulatory
transparency, predictability, stability and consistency is paramount.
Many efforts have been made by China to fully conform to WTO rules and
each day brings in new changes. While on the flight to Beijing, I read
that China is to open five new cities to foreign banks as part of its
commitment to gradually open up its domestic banking sector. What was
specially noteworthy is that this is being done ahead of the schedule
that China agreed with WTO Members. These efforts are praiseworthy and
the WTO will be more than willing to assist China in these efforts.
China has been, and will remain, an important recipient of WTO's
technical assistance and capacity-building activities.
China has made important strides in the three years since it joined the
WTO. Recently compiled international trade data by the WTO shows that
China already imports more goods that Japan and it is expected that
China will surpass Japan's total merchandise exports in 2004. China is
also likely to very soon become the world's third largest trading nation
behind the United States and Germany. The growth in communications, so
essential in today's world, is equally impressive. China already has the
fourth largest internet market in the world. And judging by the
communications infrastructure being put in place, there is no doubt that
China will quickly vault to the top of the league.
Personally, I have always been an ardent admirer of China's stupendous
growth. China has achieved a great deal in the last few years. But the
potential of benefiting from the multilateral trading system is far from
exhausted. It is fortuitous, and many would say even providential, that
the launch of the Doha Development Agenda broadly coincided with China's
entry into the WTO. As you are aware, Ministers at Doha adopted an
ambitious agenda with development issues and concerns of developing
countries at the heart of this agenda. It is the current status of this
Doha Development Agenda, commonly referred to as the DDA, that I will
now focus on.
We have come a long way since the Doha Ministerial meeting. Members have
seen periods of progress and consensus; but there have also been times
when divergences of views have not been able to be resolved. Many feared
the worst when Members failed to reach an agreement at the Cancun
Ministerial in September 2003. The WTO found itself in a precarious
situation. There were strong pressures on the multilateral trading
system from a proliferation of prospective regional arrangements. A
target to resuscitate the DDA by December 2003 did not produce any
significant results. Elections in some key countries also diverted
attention away from the DDA. Members had no choice but to inject
substantial momentum into the negotiations by the summer of 2004.
It was clear that this could only be done by restoring confidence in the
process. The General Council Chairman and the Director-General of WTO
made renewed efforts to move the stalled negotiations, while continuing
to emphasise the principles of transparency and inclusiveness not only
in their consultations, but also in their entire process. Clearly,
seeking consensus amongst 148 Members at diverse levels of development
and a negotiating agenda as complex and sensitive as the Doha round, was
never going to be easy. Nevertheless, the concerns of all the Member
countries had to be taken on board, since a process which did not
associate all its constituents would never be sustainable. Moreover,
past experience had shown that while strong political commitment from
the major trading nations was a necessary condition for success, it
would not be sufficient. All Members had to play their part. And this
they did, responding very positively and constructively to this
challenge, reflecting their support of the multilateral trading system.
In the lead-up to the July 2004 General Council, Ministers met in
various formats and groupings around the world. This intensive
ministerial-level activity provided much needed political support for
the DDA, there were still considerable problems in translating it into
concrete progress in the negotiations in Geneva. Consensus remained
elusive. As common ground was being reached on some issues, on others
the gap seemed to remain as wide as before, if not wider. Even though
time was running out and nobody wanted a failure, yet Members did not
seem willing to yield ground from their favoured positions.
The various negotiating groups and the Trade Negotiations Committee met
frequently and in a variety of formats in order to narrow the
differences in preparation for the final push. The Director-General, as
Chairman of the Trade Negotiations Committee, worked in very close
coordination with the Chairpersons of negotiating groups and the
membership in a joint effort to build common ground.
All these efforts yielded results and, I am happy to say, the
multilateral system prevailed. Members showed they were committed to
making progress on the DDA. Perhaps nothing symbolised this better than
the recently concluded agreement late July 2004, commonly referred to as
搕he July Decision? Members collectively demonstrated a spirit of co-operation
and goodwill. This Decision, formally adopted by the General Council on
1 August 2004, has put in place framework agreements ensuring continued
progress in the DDA negotiations, and while it may not be perfect, the
July Decision did achieve a text which reflects a very fine balance of
interests.
The main elements of the Decision are as follows:
On Agriculture, while far-reaching commitments were reached on all three
pillars of the negotiations ?domestic support, export competition and
market access ?there remain a number of gaps to be filled and thorny
issues to be resolved. On export competition, despite the important
commitment to eliminate export subsidies, Members will still need to fix
an end date. With respect to domestic support, while it is accepted that
countries with higher subsidy levels will reduce much more than those
with minimal subsidies, the actual level of commitments to be assumed
still needs to be carefully negotiated. On market access, while
agreement was reached that reductions would be made through a tiered
formula, Members will need to negotiate the actual percentage reductions
to be made by developed and developing countries. The Decision also
calls for tariff reductions to be made through a tiered formula that
takes into account the different tariff structures of developed and
developing countries. All countries, other than least-developed
countries, are expected to undertake substantial improvements in market
access for all agricultural products, including sensitive products.
Special and differential treatment for developing countries will include
not only longer time-frames and lower reduction commitments, but also
the ability to designate some products as Special Products which will be
eligible for more flexible treatment and a new Special Safeguard
Mechanism for developing countries. However, Members will still need to
establish which products can be designated as 搒ensitive?and 搒pecial?
and agree on disciplines to ensure that flexibility in this area is not
used to circumvent market access commitments.
On Cotton, which is so important particularly to farmers from least-developed
countries in West Africa, the Decision confirms that the trade-related
aspects of this issue will be addressed 揳mbitiously, expeditiously and
specifically?within the agricultural negotiations and that work to be
undertaken will encompass all three pillars of market access, domestic
support and export competition. A sub-committee on cotton has been
established. This shall report periodically to the main Agriculture
negotiating group. Work shall also continue on the development
assistance aspects of cotton.
There is no doubt that China has a big stake in the negotiations on Non-Agricultural
Market Access (NAMA). Annex B of the Decision sets out the initial
elements for future work on modalities in this area, and provides some
guidelines on the scope and approach to be taken in the negotiations. It
recognizes that a formula will be used as a tariff reduction modality
and indicates that a sectoral tariff component will also be pursued. The
principles of special and differential treatment and less than full
reciprocity in reduction commitments are to be fully incorporated in
such modalities. In fact, Annex B includes several provisions that deal
with the specific needs of developing-country Members and instructs the
Negotiating Group on Market Access to further elaborate on them. For
example, in the case of least-developed countries, it recognizes that
they shall not be required to apply the formula nor participate in the
sectoral approach, and clarifies that they are only expected to
substantially increase their level of binding commitments. The framework
also establishes the steps to be taken with regard to non-tariff
barriers. It goes without saying that much technical work and
negotiations will be required in order reach agreement on modalities in
this area.
China has been particularly active in ensuring that Development issues
are an integral part of the negotiations. In the July Package too,
development permeates the whole of the text and the Decision commits
Members to fulfilling the development dimension of the DDA. Special
consideration shall be given in the negotiations to the specific trade
and development-related concerns of developing countries, including
capacity constraints. Prominence is also given in the Decision to the
mandate of making existing special and differential treatment more
precise, effective and operational. A deadline of July 2005 has been set
for the Committee on Trade and Development meeting in Special Session to
review all outstanding agreement-specific proposals on special and
differential treatment and to report to the General Council with clear
recommendations for a decision. The Committee has also been directed to
address all other outstanding work, including on the cross-cutting
issues, the monitoring mechanism and the incorporation of special and
differential treatment into the architecture of WTO rules, and report,
as appropriate, to the General Council.
Members also agreed that in the ongoing market access negotiations,
special attention shall be given to the specific trade and development-related
needs and concerns of developing countries, including capacity
constraints, and concerns relating to food security, rural development,
livelihood, preferences, commodities and net food imports, as well as
prior unilateral liberalization, which have been directed to be taken
into consideration in the Agriculture and NAMA negotiations. In the
context of the concerns of least-developed countries, the Council
confirmed that nothing in this Decision would in any way detract from
the special provisions already agreed to by Members in respect of these
countries.
Trade in Services continues to be a very important part of the
negotiations. The Decision reaffirms the commitment of Members to making
progress in the services negotiations. Members who have not yet
submitted their initial offers are urged to do so as soon as possible. A
deadline of May 2005 has been set for the submission of revised offers.
China continues to be a major service provider, and will no doubt play
an important role in these negotiations
On the Singapore Issues, there is agreement to commence negotiations on
Trade Facilitation. To this effect, the WTO Trade Negotiations Committee
established the Negotiating Group on Trade Facilitation on 12 October
2004. The aim of these negotiations will be to clarify and improve three
existing GATT Articles with a view to expediting the movement, release
and clearance of goods across borders, including goods in transit. This
will help to make international trade transactions easier and less
expensive. Negotiations in trade facilitation means that governments
will soon begin to deal with the red-tape, inefficiency and sometimes
questionable practices which can, in some cases, distort trade more than
tariffs or quotas. On the other three issues ?Relationship between
Trade and Investment, Competition Policy and Transparency in Government
Procurement ?there will be no negotiations in the WTO during the Doha
Round.
With regard to the other areas of negotiation, namely, the Dispute
Settlement negotiations, Rules, Trade and Environment and TRIPs, Members
reaffirmed their commitment to making expeditious progress in line with
the Doha mandates. They similarly reaffirmed the high priority Ministers
at Doha gave to the other elements of the Work Programme which do not
involve negotiations, particularly issues of interest to developing
countries, and instructed that reports should be made to the next
Ministerial Conference.
Finally, Members agreed to continue the negotiations beyond the
timeframe of 1 January 2005 set in the Doha Ministerial Declaration, and
agreed to hold the next Ministerial Conference in Hong Kong, China in
December 2005.
While there is much to celebrate about the July Decision, there is still
a lot of work to be done. There cannot be any room for complacency, and
Members must show the same focus, determination and flexibility that
made the July Decision possible. In fact, the road ahead is bumpy and
needs to be carefully negotiated. While the July Decision made it
possible for the necessary decisions on key issues to be taken to ensure
continued progress on the DDA, it does not in any way herald the end of
the Round. However, it has clearly provided us with signposts. But the
goals have to be achieved. Fulfilling all the Doha mandates would
require our collective commitment to build on the July Decision and I am
sure that China would continue to play a leading role in advancing these
negotiations.
Since returning from the summer break, Members have turned their
attention to the technical work which needs to be completed before
modalities can be agreed. At the last TNC meeting, the Director-General
stated that it is only when work on these technical issues is
considerably advanced can we determine with any certainty the next steps
that need to be taken in the DDA Work Programme. It would be futile and
counter-productive if Members set themselves ambitious goals at this
stage of the negotiations. Notwithstanding this, it is important that
progress is made on all fronts bearing in mind the mandate and deadlines
specified in the July Decision.
Shortly, at its end-of-year meeting, the General Council will review
progress across all fronts on the basis of reports from the various WTO
bodies, including from the Director-General as Chairman of the TNC. It
is also intended to conduct a further overall review of progress next
spring when Members will begin preparing for the Sixth Ministerial
Conference. The continued engagement of all delegations, including
leading trading nations such as China, will be crucial in this new phase
of work. All WTO Members have a collective interest in strengthening the
multilateral trading system, as there is no credible alternative to it.
Foreign trade is crucially significant for development. Liberalizing
import markets for foreign suppliers is a way to eliminate existing
market distortions and facilitate purchasers in Member countries to
procure the goods and the services that are most cost-effective for them
and of the best possible quality. It is true that trade liberalization
exposes import competing industries in individual countries to greater
competition, but this is what will also improve the productivity of
these industries through innovation and competitiveness. Member
countries themselves need to contribute to this process chiefly by
improving macroeconomic and domestic regulatory framework, as well as
the physical and organizational infrastructure to back up trade and
private-sector investment
In the final analysis, trade liberalization on its own is not enough to
meet all the economic and social challenges facing nations. However, the
dramatic importance of trade as an engine of economic growth and
development cannot be overstated. Studies done by the World Bank, the
International Monetary Fund and the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development, all indicate that the gains from
liberalization of trade under the DDA could run into many billions of
dollars, with developing countries gaining a sizeable share, which would
help facilitate their efforts to alleviate poverty and achieve economic
growth and development.
Let me conclude by saying that China's continued engagement in the
technical phase of the negotiations is extremely important. Developing
countries, like China, must use this round of negotiations to promote
their development objectives and the July Decision of the General
Council is exactly the basis to build upon. The July Package has both
rights and obligations. Countries have to now maximise the gains,
including by expanding upon the flexibilities and special and
differential treatment provisions inherent in the Decision.
Let me once again thank the organisers of this China WTO Forum. With so
many distinguished participants, this forum is indeed an excellent
opportunity to assist the public and private sectors and the academic
community in their efforts to develop the right strategies for economic
growth through participation in global trade. The theme of the
Conference 揅hina and the WTO: Meeting the Challenges Ahead?goes to the
heart of the mission of the World Trade Organization, which was created
in the belief that greater openness of world markets would improve the
investment environment, generate economic growth and be a powerful force
for creating jobs and reducing poverty. I am sure that this is exactly
what this country will achieve in time to come and will continue to play
an important role in the WTO.
I wish all of you the very best.
Ganxie Zhu Wei.